Minnesota: New Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon poll shows Republicans behind
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon published the results of a new poll on April 27. In this poll, respondents from Minnesota were asked for whom they would likely vote if Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate.
The results reveal that 43.0% of participants are going to vote for the Democrats, while 38.0% said they would vote for the Republicans. The poll was conducted from January 18 to January 20 among 800 registered voters. The sampling error is +/-3.5 points.
In comparison with other surveys
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 53.1% for the democrat Clinton and 46.9% for the republican Trump. The vote share for the Democrats is 1.7 percentage points under the average results of other polls in Minnesota.
In comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The poll results for the Democrats are therefore 0.6 percentage points higher than the combined PollyVote, which currently forecasts a value of 52.5% in Minnesota.