Results of a new poll conducted by NBC-WSJ-Marist were circulated on April 27. The poll asked respondents from Michigan for whom they would likely vote if the Democrats nominated Hillary Clinton and the Republicans nominated Donald Trump.
Of those who responded, 52.0% said that they intend to vote for the Democrats, while 36.0% declared that they would give their vote to the Republicans. This poll was conducted from March 1 to March 3, among a random sample of 2229 registered voters. Results have a +/-2.1 percentage points margin of error.
In comparison with other surveys
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields figures of 59.1% for the democrat Clinton and 40.9% for the republican Trump. In comparison to the average results of other polls in Michigan the Democrats did worse in this poll.
Surveys in comparison with PollyVote's prognosis
In Comparison, the PollyVote currently foresees the Democrats to win 53.9% of the two-party vote in Michigan, which is 5.2 percentage points lower than their poll results.