On April 27, SurveyUSA released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Michigan were asked for whom they would vote if the parties' nominees were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans.
The results show that 49.0% of participants would vote for Democratic party, whereas 38.0% said they would vote for Republican party. The poll was carried out between March 23 and March 24. The sample size was 904 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-3.3 points.
In comparison with other surveys
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields figures of 56.3% for the democrat Hillary Clinton and 43.7% for the republican Donald Trump. The Democrats did worse by 1.3 percentage points in comparison to the average results of the other polls in Michigan.
Surveys in comparison with PollyVote's prognosis
The poll results for the Democrats are therefore 2.4 percentage points higher than the combined PollyVote, which currently anticipates a two-party vote share of 53.9% in Michigan.