Latest Franklin & Marshall poll in Pennsylvania: Democrats with very clear advantage
Results of a new poll conducted by Franklin & Marshall were distributed on April 27. The poll asked respondents from Pennsylvania for whom they would likely vote if the Democrats nominated Hillary Clinton and the Republicans nominated Donald Trump.
According to the results, 46.0% of participants plan to vote for the Democrats, while 33.0% plan to vote for the GOP. The poll was carried out between March 14 and March 20. The sample size was 828 registered voters. The sampling error is +/-3.3 percentage points.
According to other surveys
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 58.2% for the democrat Clinton and 41.8% for the republican Trump. The Democrats did worse by 3.9 percentage points in comparison to the average results of the other polls in Pennsylvania.
In comparison with PollyVote's prognosis
The poll numbers for the Democrats are thus 5.3 percentage points higher than the combined PollyVote, which currently anticipates a two-party vote share of 52.9% in Pennsylvania.