Latest EPIC-MRA poll in Michigan: Democrats with clear lead
On April 27, EPIC-MRA released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Michigan were asked for whom they would vote if the parties' nominees were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans.
Of those who responded, 47.0% revealed that they plan to vote for the Democrats, whereas 37.0% indicated that they would give their vote to the Republicans. This poll was conducted from March 19 to March 22, among a random sample of 600 likely voters. Results have a +/-4.0 percentage points sampling error.
According to other surveys
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields figures of 56.0% for the democrat Clinton and 44.1% for the republican Trump. The Democrats did worse by 0.9 percentage points in comparison to the average results of the other polls in Michigan.
Surveys in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The poll results for the Democrats are therefore 2.1 percentage points higher than the combined PollyVote, which currently anticipates a value of 53.9% in Michigan.