Democrats lead in New Hampshire by 1 point in latest NBC-WSJ-Marist poll
Results of a new poll conducted by NBC-WSJ-Marist were released on April 27. The poll asked respondents from New Hampshire for whom they would likely vote if the Democrats nominated Hillary Clinton and the Republicans nominated Donald Trump.
Of those who answered the question, 45.0% revealed that they would vote for the Democrats, while 44.0% declared that they would give their vote to the Republicans. This poll was conducted from January 2 to January 7, among a random sample of 957 registered voters.
In comparison with other surveys
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 50.6% for the Democrats and 49.4% for the Republicans. The Democrats did better by 5.4 percentage points in comparison to the average results of the other polls in New Hampshire.
In comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The poll results for the Democrats are thus 3.1 percentage points lower than the combined PollyVote, which currently expects a value of 53.7% in New Hampshire.