Christopher Newport University poll in Virginia: Democrats are in the lead
On April 27, Christopher Newport University released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Virginia were asked for whom they would vote if the parties' nominees were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans.
Of those who answered the question, 44.0% said that they plan to vote for the Democrats, whereas 35.0% said that they would give their vote to the Republicans. The poll was conducted between March 23 and April 3. The sample size was 1167 registered voters. Estimated have a +/-3.1 percentage points margin of error.
According to other surveys
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields figures of 55.7% for the democrat Hillary Clinton and 44.3% for the republican Donald Trump. In comparison to the average results of other polls in Virginia the Democrats did better in this poll.
Surveys in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The poll results for the Democrats are thus 3.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which currently expects a two-party vote share of 51.8% in Virginia.