The results of a new poll, conducted by Elon University in North Carolina, were released on April 16. In the survey participants were asked, whether they would vote for democrat Hillary Clinton or republican Donald Trump, assuming that these two candidates would win the primaries. The results show that 47.0% of respondents would vote for the Democrats, whereas 41.0% said they would vote for GOP. The poll was carried out from February 15 to February 17 with 1530 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-2.5 points.
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 53.4% for the Democrats and 46.6% for the Republicans.