The results of a new poll, conducted on behalf of Merrill in Arizona, were published on March 23. In the survey participants were asked, whether they would vote for democrat Hillary Clinton or republican Donald Trump, assuming that these two candidates would win the primaries. The results reveal that 38.0% of respondents intend to vote for the Democrats, whereas 38.0% said they would vote for Republican party. The poll was carried out from March 7 to March 11 with 701 likely voters. Estimated have a +/-3.7 percentage points margin of error.
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 50.0% for the Democrats and 50.0% for the Republicans. The vote share for the republicans is 1.2 percentage points under the average results of other polls in Arizona.