IBD released the results of a new national poll on April 4. In this poll, respondents were asked for whom they would likely vote if Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate. Of those who responded, 47.0% said that they plan to vote for Clinton, while 35.0% indicated that they would give their vote to Trump. The poll was conducted between March 28 and April 2. The sample size was 819 participants. Figures have a +/-3.5 percentage points error margin.
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 57.3% for the Democrats and 42.7% for the Republicans. The polling numbers for the Democrats are therefore 3.8 percentage points higher than the combined PollyVote, which currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.5%.