New NBC poll: Democrats hold very clear advantage
The results of a new national poll, conducted by NBC, were released on March 9. In the survey participants were asked, whether they would vote for democrat Hillary Clinton or republican Donald Trump, assuming that these two candidates would win the primaries. Of those who answered the question, 51.0% said that they intend to vote for the Democrats, while 38.0% declared that they would give their vote to the Republicans. This poll was conducted via phone from March 3 to March 6, among a random sample of 1200 registered voters. Estimated have a +/-13.0 percentage points margin of error.
Converting these results into two-party vote shares yields figures of 57.3% for the democrat Hillary Clinton and 42.7% for the republican Donald Trump. The democrats did worse by 3.1 percentage points in comparison to the average results of the other polls. The poll results for the Democrats are therefore 4.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 52.4%.