Ipsos poll: Democrats hold clear advantage
Ipsos released the results of a new national poll. The results reveal that 44.0% of participants plan to vote for the Democrats, whereas 36.0% said they would vote for Republican party. This poll was conducted from January 30 to February 3, among a random sample of 1434 participants. The sampling error is +/-8.0 percentage points.
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields values of 55.0% for the Democrats and 45.0% for the Republicans. The democrats did worse by 2.1 percentage points in comparison to the average results of the other polls. The poll numbers for the Democrats are therefore 4.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which currently predicts a two-party vote share of 50.3%.