Monmouth poll: Republicans are behind
Monmouth disclosed the results of a new national poll. In this poll, respondents were asked for whom they would likely vote if Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate. Of those who answered the question, 48.0% revealed that they would vote for Clinton, whereas 38.0% indicated that they would give their vote to Trump. The poll was in the field between March 17 and March 20. The sample size was 848 participants. The sampling error is +/-3.4 points.
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields figures of 55.8% for the Democrats and 44.2% for the Republicans. In comparison, the PollyVote right now expects the Democrats to garner 53.0% of the two-party vote, which is 2.8 percentage points lower than their polling figures.