New Bloomberg poll shows Democrats in the lead
The results of a new national poll, sponsored Bloomberg, were published on March 23. In the survey participants were asked, whether they would vote for democrat Hillary Clinton or republican Donald Trump, assuming that these two candidates would win the primaries. The results show that 54.0% of participants would vote for Clinton, while 36.0% said they would vote for the republican Trump. The phonepoll was conducted from March 19 to March 22 with 815 likely voters. Figures have a +/-3.4 percentage points margin of error.
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields figures of 60.0% for Clinton and 40.0% for the republican Trump. The vote share for the democrats is 4.1 percentage points under the average results of other polls. The poll results for the Democrats are therefore 7.0 percentage points higher than the combined PollyVote, which as of now expects a two-party vote share of 53.0%.