Results of a new national poll conducted by Ipsos on behalf of Reuters were distributed on March 17. The poll asked respondents for whom they would likely vote if the Democratic Party nominated Hillary Clinton and the Republican Party nominated Donald Trump. According to the results, 42.0% of participants are going to vote for Clinton, while 37.0% are going to vote for Trump. This poll was conducted via Internet from March 12 to March 16, among a random sample of 1437 registered voters.
Translating these results into two-party vote shares yields figures of 53.2% for the Democrats and 46.8% for the Republicans. The polling numbers for the Democrats are thus 0.7 percentage points higher than the combined PollyVote, which as of now forecasts a two-party vote share of 52.5%.