Expert panel forecast: Democrats remain at 52.0%

The Pollyvote team has completed its third survey of elections experts to forecast the 2016 presidential election. In the late February survey, conducted between February 26 and 29, fifteen experts responded. The forecasts for the Democratic popular two-party vote ranged from a minimum of 48.5% to a maximum of 54.5%. The mean forecast was 52.0%.

This is the exact same result as in the previous survey conducted a month ago and also perfectly matches the latest combined PollyVote forecast.

Polly thanks the experts who participated in this round, namely

• Randall Adkins (University of Nebraska Omaha)
• Lonna Rae Atkeson (University of New Mexico)
• Scott Blinder (University of Massachusetts Amherst)
• John Coleman (University of Minnesota)
• George Edwards (Texas A&M University)
• John Geer (Vanderbilt University)
• Sandy Maisel (Colby College)
• Michael Martinez (University of Florida)
• Thomas Patterson (Harvard University)
• Gerald Pomper (Rutgers University)
• David Redlawsk (Rutgers University)
• Larry Sabato (University of Virginia)
• Michael Tesler (University of California, Irvine)
• Charles Walcott (Virginia Tech)

and one expert who preferred to remain anonymous.