Democrats gain after NH primary

The results of the New Hampshire primary might look good for Donald Trump’s prospects to win the Republican nomination. And yet, according to the PollyVote, the Democratic party is the real winner of yesterday’s election. As a result of Trump taking back the lead in the PredictWise GOP nomination forecast, PollyVote’s forecast of the Democratic two-party vote share in the general election has increased by 1.2 percentage points to currently 51.5% (vs. 48.5% for the Republicans). This is the largest lead for the Democrats since PollyVote published its first forecast on January 1st, 2016.