PollyVote – Evidence-based election forecasting since 2004

PollyVote

Evidence-based election forecasting since 2004

Forecasts
- President
News
About
- Method
- Track record
- Publications
- FAQ
- Team

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PollyVote

Evidence-based election forecasting since 2004

Forecasts
- President
News
About
- Method
- Track record
- Publications
- FAQ
- Team

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Big Picture

National vote forecasts

Electoral vote forecasts

Chance of winning (%)

Recent posts

PollyVote expert panel gives Trump a 32% chance of winning
Biden ahead by roughly six points in August expert survey
Double-digit lead for Biden in latest expert survey

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