Siena published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from New York were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.
Siena poll results
The results show that 51.0% of participants will give their vote to former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 30.0% plan to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from September 11 to September 15. A total of 600 likely voters responded. There is a sampling error of +/-5.0 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
Single polls can incorporate large errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
For the following analysis, we translate Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 63.0% for Clinton and 37.0% for Trump. The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 63.0% of the two-party vote in New York.