TPM PollTracker

TPM PollTracker is a poll aggregator founded in 2010 and operated by the political blog Talking Points Memo. For information about the TPM PollTracker methodology read their FAQ.

TPM PollTracker in the PollyVote

PollyVote uses the TPM PollTracker polling averages as one of various polling aggregators in the combined polls component. Until the parties’ nominees are known, PollyVote uses head-to-head polls for the most likely match-up, according to PredictWise. Currently, PredictWise predicts Clinton to win the Democratic nomination, and Trump to predict the Republican nomination. The chart below shows the TPM PollTracker estimates for this hypothetical match-up.