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pkyeardaystatefcpkyeardaypkyeardaystatefccomponentelectionyeardaystoelectionfcdatestateforecastnfcvsnfcwinprobnfcwinfreqfcevrepfcevdemfcwinnerfcwinnervsfcwinnerwinprobfcwinnerwinfreqfcwinnerpollyvotefreqfcrepvsfcdemvsfcrepwinprobfcdemwinprobfcrepwinfreqfcdemwinfreqfcrepwinpollyvotefreqfcdemwinpollyvotefreqfcerrorabsolutefcerrorfcupdatelastsurveydayfirstsurveydayinc2partyrespreprespdemrespothrespundecidedreleasedsamplemoequestiontxtsampledescintmethodsurveyorgsurveysponsorsourcedocumentlinkmatchup_lastupdate
20160NationalYouGov2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalYouGov0.000.0000D0.000047.3152.690.000.0000000.000.00052.690.000.000.000.0000.00poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/yougov/trump-vs-clinton1477519311
20160NationalTPM2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalTPM Poll TrackerD47.5352.4700052.4743.2288645086810647.72329125505152poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/tpm-poll-tracker/trump-vs-clinton1478559730
20160NationalRealClearPolitics2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalRealClearPoliticsD48.3651.6400051.64poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/realclearpolitics/trump-vs-clinton1478581256
20160NationalPEC2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalPECD48.6551.3500051.35poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/princeton-election-consortium/trump-vs-clinton1478559720
20160NationalHuffPost2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalHuffPost PollsterD47.152.9000052.90poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/huffpost-pollster/trump-vs-clinton1478561105
20160NationalElection2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalElection ProjectionD48.5351.4700051.4746.148.9poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/election-projection/trump-vs-clinton1478559705
20160National5382016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016National538 (polls-only)D48.0851.9200151.920.450.486poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/538-polls/trump-vs-clinton1478592290
20160National2702016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016National270 to winD48.0251.9800051.980.4360.472poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/270-to-win/trump-vs-clinton1478559711
20160NationalYouGov/Economist2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalYouGov/Economist0.000.0000D0.000047.8752.130.000.0000000.000.00004.11.201607.11.201652.1345.0049.000.007.0036691.65Likely VotersInternetindividual poll1478561030
20160NationalUPI/CVOTER2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalUPI/CVOTER0.000.0000D0.000048.4251.580.000.0000000.000.00030.10.201605.11.201651.5846.0049.000.005.0015722.52Likely VotersInternetindividual poll1478474645
20160NationalNBC/WSJ2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalNBC/WSJ0.000.0000D0.000047.2552.750.000.0000000.000.00003.11.201605.11.201652.7543.0048.006.003.0012822.79Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual poll1478474631
20160NationalNBC/SurveyMonkey2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalNBC/SurveyMonkey0.000.0000D0.000046.3253.680.000.0000000.000.00024.10.201630.10.201653.6844.0051.005.000.00408160.49Likely VotersInternetindividual poll1477956248
20160NationalMonmouth2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalMonmouth University0.000.0000D0.000046.8153.190.000.0000000.000.00003.11.201606.11.201653.1944.0050.001.005.007483.66Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual poll1478561054
20160NationalMonmouth2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalMonmouthD46.8153.1900003.11.201706.11.201753.1944507483.6individual pollhttp://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/568faad2-81ab-4bd0-b373-8577326e76bd.pdf1478559693
20160NationalIBD/TIPP2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalIBD/TIPPD49.4150.5900003.11.201706.11.201750.5942439510263.1219527052723137Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual poll1478561068
20160NationalIBD2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalIBDD49.4150.5900003.11.201706.11.201750.59424310263.1individual pollhttp://www.investors.com/politics/clintons-lead-over-trump-narrows-as-disappointment-with-choices-grows/1478559673
20160NationalFOX2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalFOXD47.8352.1700003.11.201706.11.201752.1744487212952.778850071883642Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual pollhttp://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/06/09/fox-news-poll-trump-drops-now-trails-clinton.html?intcmp=hpbt11478561061
20160NationalEconomist2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalEconomistD47.8752.1300004.11.201707.11.201752.13454936691.6509204383655283individual pollhttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Economist_YouGov_General_Election_June_18_20.pdf1478559666
20160NationalCBS/Times2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalCBS/Times0.000.0000D0.000047.7852.220.000.0000000.000.00002.11.201606.11.201652.2243.0047.005.005.0014262.65Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual poll1478561076
20160NationalCBS2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalCBS0.000.0000D0.000047.7852.220.000.0000000.000.00002.11.201606.11.201652.2243.0047.000.000.0014263.00individual pollhttp://www.cbsnews.com/news/clinton-maintains-lead-after-claiming-nomination-cbs-news-poll/1478559700
20160NationalBloomberg/Selzer2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalBloomberg/Selzer0.000.0000D0.000048.3151.690.000.0000000.000.00004.11.201606.11.201651.6943.0046.006.005.007993.54Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual poll1478561038
20160NationalBloomberg2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalBloomberg0.000.0000D0.000048.3151.690.000.0000000.000.00004.11.201606.11.201651.6943.0046.000.000.007993.50individual pollhttp://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rc0NltTBR0ug/v01478559659
20160NationalABC/Post2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalABC/PostD48.4251.5800003.11.201706.11.201751.5846492322202.1223817998900443Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual poll1478561046
20160NationalABC2016020160Nationalpolls_NL2016008.11.2016NationalABCD48.4251.5800003.11.201706.11.201751.58464922202.5individual poll1478559680
20161NationalYouGov2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalYouGov0.000.0000D0.000047.3152.690.000.0000000.000.00052.690.000.000.000.0000.00poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/yougov/trump-vs-clinton1477519311
20161NationalTPM2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalTPM Poll TrackerD47.5352.4700152.4743.2288645086810647.72329125505152poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/tpm-poll-tracker/trump-vs-clinton1478559730
20161NationalRealClearPolitics2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalRealClearPoliticsD48.3651.6400151.64poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/realclearpolitics/trump-vs-clinton1478581256
20161NationalPEC2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalPECD48.6551.3500151.35poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/princeton-election-consortium/trump-vs-clinton1478559720
20161NationalHuffPost2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalHuffPost PollsterD47.152.9000152.90poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/huffpost-pollster/trump-vs-clinton1478561105
20161NationalElection2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalElection ProjectionD48.5351.4700151.4746.148.9poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/election-projection/trump-vs-clinton1478559705
20161National5382016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016National538 (polls-only)D48.2551.7500151.750.4540.487poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/538-polls/trump-vs-clinton1478559716
20161National2702016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016National270 to winD48.0251.9800151.980.4360.472poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/270-to-win/trump-vs-clinton1478559711
20161NationalYouGov/Economist2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalYouGov/Economist0.000.0000D0.000047.8752.130.000.0000000.000.00004.11.201607.11.201652.1345.0049.000.007.0036691.65Likely VotersInternetindividual poll1478561030
20161NationalUPI/CVOTER2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalUPI/CVOTER0.000.0000D0.000048.4251.580.000.0000000.000.00030.10.201605.11.201651.5846.0049.000.005.0015722.52Likely VotersInternetindividual poll1478474645
20161NationalReuters2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalReuters0.000.0000D0.000047.6252.380.000.0000000.000.00031.10.201604.11.201652.3840.0044.000.000.0022442.20individual pollhttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Reuters_Ipsos_June_18_to_22_2016.pdf1478473301
20161NationalNBC/WSJ2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalNBC/WSJ0.000.0000D0.000047.2552.750.000.0000000.000.00003.11.201605.11.201652.7543.0048.006.003.0012822.79Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual poll1478474631
20161NationalNBC/SurveyMonkey2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalNBC/SurveyMonkey0.000.0000D0.000046.3253.680.000.0000000.000.00024.10.201630.10.201653.6844.0051.005.000.00408160.49Likely VotersInternetindividual poll1477956248
20161NationalNBC2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalNBC NewsD46.3253.6800131.10.201706.11.201753.68445130141individual pollhttp://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/nbc-wsj-poll-clinton-leads-trump-5-points-n598716?cid=sm_tw1478538104
20161NationalMonmouth2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalMonmouth University0.000.0000D0.000046.8153.190.000.0000000.000.00003.11.201606.11.201653.1944.0050.001.005.007483.66Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual poll1478561054
20161NationalMonmouth2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalMonmouthD46.8153.1900103.11.201706.11.201753.1944507483.6individual pollhttp://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/568faad2-81ab-4bd0-b373-8577326e76bd.pdf1478559693
20161NationalMcClatchy2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalMcClatchy0.000.0000D0.000048.8951.110.000.0000000.000.00001.11.201603.11.201651.1144.0046.000.000.009403.20individual pollhttp://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/usapolls/us160329/MCC/General Election/McClatchy_Marist Poll_General Election__Complete Survey Findings_Nature of the Sample and Tables_April 2016.pdf1478473294
20161NationalLA2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalLA Times0.000.0000R0.000052.7547.250.000.0000000.000.00030.10.201605.11.201647.2548.0043.000.000.0029884.50individual poll1478473275
20161NationalIpsos/Reuters2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalIpsos/Reuters0.000.0000D0.000047.6252.380.000.0000000.000.00031.10.201604.11.201652.3840.0044.0010.007.0022442.11Likely VotersInternetindividual poll1478474659
20161NationalIBD/TIPP2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalIBD/TIPPD49.4150.5900103.11.201706.11.201750.5942439510263.1219527052723137Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual poll1478561068
20161NationalIBD2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalIBDD49.4150.5900103.11.201706.11.201750.59424310263.1individual pollhttp://www.investors.com/politics/clintons-lead-over-trump-narrows-as-disappointment-with-choices-grows/1478559673
20161NationalFOX2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalFOXD47.8352.1700103.11.201706.11.201752.1744487212952.778850071883642Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual pollhttp://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/06/09/fox-news-poll-trump-drops-now-trails-clinton.html?intcmp=hpbt11478561061
20161NationalEconomist2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalEconomistD47.8752.1300104.11.201707.11.201752.13454936691.6509204383655283individual pollhttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Economist_YouGov_General_Election_June_18_20.pdf1478559666
20161NationalCBS/Times2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalCBS/Times0.000.0000D0.000047.7852.220.000.0000000.000.00002.11.201606.11.201652.2243.0047.005.005.0014262.65Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual poll1478561076
20161NationalCBS2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalCBS0.000.0000D0.000047.7852.220.000.0000000.000.00002.11.201606.11.201652.2243.0047.000.000.0014263.00individual pollhttp://www.cbsnews.com/news/clinton-maintains-lead-after-claiming-nomination-cbs-news-poll/1478559700
20161NationalBloomberg/Selzer2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalBloomberg/Selzer0.000.0000D0.000048.3151.690.000.0000000.000.00004.11.201606.11.201651.6943.0046.006.005.007993.54Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual poll1478561038
20161NationalBloomberg2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalBloomberg0.000.0000D0.000048.3151.690.000.0000000.000.00004.11.201606.11.201651.6943.0046.000.000.007993.50individual pollhttp://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rc0NltTBR0ug/v01478559659
20161NationalABC/Post2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalABC/PostD48.4251.5800103.11.201706.11.201751.5846492322202.1223817998900443Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual poll1478561046
20161NationalABC2016120161Nationalpolls_NL2016107.11.2016NationalABCD48.4251.5800103.11.201706.11.201751.58464922202.5individual poll1478559680
20162NationalYouGov2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalYouGov0.000.0000D0.000047.3152.690.000.0000000.000.00052.690.000.000.000.0000.00poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/yougov/trump-vs-clinton1477519311
20162NationalTPM2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalTPM Poll TrackerD48.6351.3700151.3743.8669771066291746.33546238468512poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/tpm-poll-tracker/trump-vs-clinton1478473330
20162NationalRealClearPolitics2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalRealClearPoliticsD49.0250.9800150.98poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/realclearpolitics/trump-vs-clinton1478494855
20162NationalPEC2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalPECD48.751.3000151.30poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/princeton-election-consortium/trump-vs-clinton1478473321
20162NationalHuffPost2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalHuffPost PollsterD47.1452.8600152.86poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/huffpost-pollster/trump-vs-clinton1478474663
20162NationalElection2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalElection ProjectionD48.8451.1600151.1646.40000000000000648.6poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/election-projection/trump-vs-clinton1478473306
20162National5382016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016National538 (polls-only)D48.4551.5500151.550.4540.483poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/538-polls/trump-vs-clinton1478473316
20162National2702016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016National270 to winD47.7852.2200152.220.4310.471poll aggregatorhttp://pollyvote.com/en/components/polls/270-to-win/trump-vs-clinton1478473311
20162NationalUPI/CVOTER2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalUPI/CVOTER0.000.0000D0.000048.4251.580.000.0000000.000.00030.10.201605.11.201651.5846.0049.000.005.0015722.52Likely VotersInternetindividual poll1478474645
20162NationalReuters2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalReuters0.000.0000D0.000047.6252.380.000.0000000.000.00031.10.201604.11.201652.3840.0044.000.000.0022442.20individual pollhttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Reuters_Ipsos_June_18_to_22_2016.pdf1478473301
20162NationalNBC/WSJ2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalNBC/WSJ0.000.0000D0.000047.2552.750.000.0000000.000.00003.11.201605.11.201652.7543.0048.006.003.0012822.79Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual poll1478474631
20162NationalNBC2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalNBC NewsD47.2552.7500103.11.201705.11.201752.75434812822.7individual pollhttp://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/nbc-wsj-poll-clinton-leads-trump-5-points-n598716?cid=sm_tw1478473259
20162NationalMcClatchy/Marist2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalMcClatchy/Marist0.000.0000D0.000048.8951.110.000.0000000.000.00001.11.201603.11.201651.1144.0046.002.008.009403.26Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual poll1478453067
20162NationalMcClatchy2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalMcClatchy0.000.0000D0.000048.8951.110.000.0000000.000.00001.11.201603.11.201651.1144.0046.000.000.009403.20individual pollhttp://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/usapolls/us160329/MCC/General Election/McClatchy_Marist Poll_General Election__Complete Survey Findings_Nature of the Sample and Tables_April 2016.pdf1478473294
20162NationalLA2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalLA Times0.000.0000R0.000052.7547.250.000.0000000.000.00030.10.201605.11.201647.2548.0043.000.000.0029884.50individual poll1478473275
20162NationalIpsos/Reuters2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalIpsos/Reuters0.000.0000D0.000047.6252.380.000.0000000.000.00031.10.201604.11.201652.3840.0044.0010.007.0022442.11Likely VotersInternetindividual poll1478474659
20162NationalIBD/TIPP2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalIBD/TIPPD49.4450.5600102.11.201705.11.201750.564445749033.3277916281986086Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual poll1478474638
20162NationalIBD2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalIBDD49.4450.5600102.11.201705.11.201750.5644459033.3individual pollhttp://www.investors.com/politics/clintons-lead-over-trump-narrows-as-disappointment-with-choices-grows/1478473268
20162NationalFOX2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalFOXD49.4550.5500101.11.201703.11.201750.5545466111073Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual pollhttp://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/06/09/fox-news-poll-trump-drops-now-trails-clinton.html?intcmp=hpbt11478473288
20162NationalEconomist2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalEconomistD48.3951.6100130.10.201701.11.201751.61454812333.2individual pollhttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Economist_YouGov_General_Election_June_18_20.pdf1478430099
20162NationalABC/Post2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalABC/PostD47.3152.6900101.11.201704.11.201752.6944492416852.4361276856704794Likely VotersLive Phoneindividual poll1478474652
20162NationalABC2016220162Nationalpolls_NL2016206.11.2016NationalABCD47.3152.6900101.11.201704.11.201752.69444916852.5individual poll1478473282