North Carolina: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 50.4% for Clinton, and 49.6% for Trump in North Carolina.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton is currently at 0.0% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in North Carolina. This value is 50.4 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Crosstab model. The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 50.4% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 2.3 percentage points lower.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

*