Crosstab model in New York: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 64.1% for Clinton, and 35.9% for Trump in New York.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in New York has Clinton at 0.0% of the two-party vote. Compared to her numbers in the Crosstab model Clinton's econometric model average is 64.1 percentage points worse.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 63.2% of the two-party vote in New York. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New York. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 11.4 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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