The PollyVote predicts the two-party popular vote-shares in US presidential elections by applying the evidence-based principle of combining forecasts from different component methods. The table on the right shows the latest PollyVote national vote forecast as well as the currently available forecasts from each component method. The first chart above shows how the PollyVote’s popular vote forecast for the 2016 election has developed over time. The second chart shows the latest forecast of the Electoral College.